P6: Seasonal forecast of weather extremes for improving food security
A seasonal forecast on the convection permitting scale for summer and winter 2015 will be performed and evaluated over Africa. The results will be used to support farmers with respect to optimize agricultural practices, for risk assessment of extreme events, and the development of warning systems. A new seasonal simulation of the ENSO year 2015 along a latitude belt, which is now covering the entire tropical region will be set up and performed with the Weather and Research Forecast model (WRF). The skill will be analyzed and evaluated concerning precipitation, temperature, pressure system development and tracks.
Involved persons
Prof. Dr. Volker Wulfmeyer
PhD Scholar Markos Budusa Ware
Involved institutions
Institute for Physics and Meteorology (120)
Chair of Physics and Meteorology (120a)
Food Security Center (791)